In response to articles speculating whether the "migration will actually happen this year" due to the dry weather in the Serengeti, we've contacted our eyes and ears on the ground to get a sitrep. Of course, the migration is a year round phenomenon but the movements of the wildebeest are largely influenced by weather patterns and consequent availability of food. While there are still some wildebeest that seem to be lingering in the north, our guides in the area report that all crossings taking place at the moment are of beasts returning to Tanzania. There are also herds filing southwards around Migration Camp and Lobo areas (seen by one of our guides last week there) and there are also big numbers in the western corridor. Zebras are congregating in their thousands around Seronera.
Rains are getting heavier in the southern areas and forecast to continue, so we would expect the beasts to proceed further south…watch this space.
This is a useful weather forecast if you want to keep abreast of the clouds that those wildebeest tend to chase: http://www.wxmaps.org/pix/prec10.html